Commodity Price Cycles and Financial Stability

Price Stability with Imperfect Financial Integration∗

This paper evaluates the welfare implications of monetary policy rules when international financial markets are incomplete. Using a two-country dynamic general equilibrium monetary model, we evaluate the magnitude of the costs of imperfect risk sharing. Under a price stability policy in both countries, they are in the range of 0.07-0.70 percent of a permanent shift in steady-state consumption. ...

Volatility and Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity prices tend to be volatile, and volatility itself varies over time. Changes in volatility can affect market variables by directly affecting the marginal value of storage, and by affecting a component of the total marginal cost of production: the opportunity cost of exercising the option to produce the commodity now rather than waiting for more price information. I examine the role of ...

Price and Financial Stability in Modern Central Banking

Financial Cycles

Throughout the 1980s and into the early 1990s, the effects of several financial cycles severely battered the banking system of the United States. As used here, the term "cycle" does not imply a recurring phenomenon, but rather a cycle through various phases--as in a boom and bust cycle. Most of these cycles began with a prolonged period of extraordinary growth centered in a particularly risky t...

Commodity Price Volatility and Nutrition Vulnerability

vi 1. Motivation and Introduction 1 2. Overview of the Analytical Framework 3 3. Data and Methodology 6